The New York Cosmos have a certain "pull" at home, but their current form is extremely poor. The four home - wins of New York don't carry much weight. Winning only one game in the last ten matches indicates that there are issues with the overall operation of the team. However, when they return to their home ground to face Sarasota, an away - game underdog, they at least have a chance of getting points. A home undefeated record is a reasonable baseline expectation.
Sarasota is weak on the road, but has a psychological edge from previous encounters. With only two wins in 13 away games and an average of nearly 1.8 goals conceded per game, it's highly likely that they won't be able to hold their ground in New York. Nevertheless, having won the first - round encounter, the players have psychological confidence. A victory for the away team can't be ruled out, but the probability is lower than that of a home win or a draw.